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新时期林业和草原发展规划评估方法和技术探析

Methods and techniques of forestry and grassland development planning evaluation in the new era

  • 摘要: 从发展规划闭环管理的视角出发,分析了发展规划评估的发展历程,指明了发展规划存在的“重编制、轻评估”现象。从评估内容、评估时点和规划层级3个维度进行了规划评估分类,重点分析发展规划编制和实施情况评估的内容和技术方法,基于“一致性”评估理论,从基本情况、目标识别、尺度确定、结果评价、因果分析和反馈修正6个部分解析了对比评估方法,林业和草原发展规划评估主要内容包括目标评估、任务评估和实施机制评估3个方面,进一步分析了规划环境影响评价和社会稳定风险评估,采用期末方法进行了案例评估。新时期林业和草原发展规划评估应充分结合林长制考核,运用林草资源及生态状况监测评价等成果资料,及时反馈评估结果以期提升林业和草原现代化治理能力。

     

    Abstract: From the perspective of closed-loop management of development planning, this paper analyzed the history of development planning evaluation, and pointed out the phenomenon of "attaching importance to writing and thinking little of evaluation" in development planning. The evaluation of forestry and grassland development planning is classified from three dimensions of content, time and level. The content and technical methods of evaluation of development planning are analyzed. Based on the "consistency" evaluation theory, actual results with the planning objectives are compared from basic situation, target recognition, scale, result evaluation, causal analysis and feedback. Main contents include objective evaluation, tasks assessment, and implementing mechanism.Furthermore, planning environmental impact assessment and social stability risk assessment are analyzed. The method is used for case study. The evaluation of forestry and grassland development planning in the new period should be fully combined with the assessment of forest administrator system, and the results of monitoring and evaluation of forest and grassland resources and ecological status to perfect the modern management system of forestry and grassland.

     

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