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森林生态系统碳汇估算的现状、挑战与未来展望

Current status, challenges and future prospects on estimating carbon sinks of forest ecosystems

  • 摘要: 森林作为全球最大陆地碳库在缓解温室效应、调节碳平衡等方面发挥着重要作用,分析研究森林碳汇估算的现状与面临挑战具有深远意义。基于数据源类型重新分类探讨常见森林碳汇估算方法,简要并分析了国内外研究进展及代表性研究成果。通过分析发现,森林生态系统碳汇估算目前面临数据获取难题(如遥感数据质量与分辨率问题、地面数据稀缺)、估算模型与算法局限(如现有算法适用性受限、算法需优化创新)以及跨学科合作与数据共享障碍(如学科壁垒、数据共享机制不完善)等挑战。针对这些挑战,建议加强新型遥感传感器与平台的发展,推动人工智能与大数据技术应用,深度利用高分辨率遥感数据,开展长时间序列数据分析与预测,加强碳汇与气候变化反馈机制研究,从而以提升森林碳汇估算的科学性与准确性,以应对未来森林碳汇估算的复杂需求,为全球气候变化评估与碳管理策略制定提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Forests, as the world’s largest terrestrial carbon sink, play an important role in mitigating greenhouse effects and regulating carbon balance. Analyzing and studying the current status and challenges of forest carbon sink estimation has profound significance.This article reclassifies and explores common forest carbon sink estimation methods based on data source types, and briefy analyzes the research progress and representative research results at home and abroad. The analysis reveals that the estimation of forest ecosystem carbon sinks is currently facing the challenges of data acquisition difficulties(such as remote sensing data quality and resolution issues, scarcity of ground data), limitations on estimation models and algorithms(such as the limited applicability of existing algorithms, algorithm optimization and innovation), as well as the obstacles of cross-disciplinary cooperation and data sharing(such as disciplinary barriers, incomplete data sharing mechanisms). In response to these challenges, this article suggests strengthening the development of new remote sensing sensors and platforms, promoting the application of artificial intelligence and big data technology,deeply utilizing high-resolution remote sensing data, conducting long-term data analysis and prediction, strengthening research on carbon sink and climate change feedback mechanisms, in order to enhance the scientific and accurate estimation of forest carbon sinks,meet the complex needs of future forest carbon sink estimation, and provide scientific basis for global climate change assessment and carbon management strategy formulation.

     

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