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天然云南松异龄混交林生长模型的构建

Construction of growth model for natural mixed-age stands of Yunnan Pine

  • 摘要: 为研究天然云南松异龄混交林分竞争对林分蓄积生长量所产生的影响,基于四川西南横断山脉地区56块标准地,利用4种竞争木的选择方法(M1、M2、M3、M4),分别搭配4种竞争指标进行组合,通过非线性平方和法对对照方程和全变量方程的建模变量进行了共线性检验,构建了天然云南松林分生长模型,并分别计算了F检验和MSER对模型进行优选。结果表明:M3方法选择竞争木优于其他竞争木选择方法。M3方法搭配的4种竞争指标( L/M3、H/M3、A/M3和ME/M3)参与建模,MSER值分别是0.075、0.056、0.169和0.200;R2值分别是0.731、0.735、0.701和0.777。ME/M3构建的天然云南松异龄混交林分生长模型是最优的。该研究结果为该区域天然云南松异龄混交林的抚育经营管理提出了理论支撑,为实现后续结构化经营提供了技术方法。

     

    Abstract: To investigate the impact of competition on the volume growth of natural mixed-age stands of Yunnan pine, this study, based on 56 sample plots in the southwestern part of Hengduan Mountains in Sichuan, employed four methods (M1, M2, M3, M4) for selecting competitive trees. These methods were combined with four competition indices for modeling variables. Collinearity tests for the modeling variables of the control equation and the full-variable equation were conducted using the nonlinear least squares method. A growth model for natural Yunnan pine stands was constructed, and model selection was performed using F-tests and MSER (Model Selection Estimation Routine). The results indicate that the M3 method for selecting competitive trees was superior to other methods. When combined with the M3 method, the four competition indices (L/M3, H/M3, A/M3, and ME/M3) had MSER values of 0.075, 0.056, 0.169, and 0.200, and R2 values of 0.731, 0.735, 0.701, and 0.777, respectively. The growth model constructed with ME/M3 was found to be optimal for the natural mixed-age stands of Yunnan pine. These findings provide theoretical support for the silvicultural management of natural mixed-age stands of Yunnan pine in the region and offer technical methods for achieving subsequent structured management.

     

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