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2000—2020年甘肃省植被时空变化特征与影响因素研究

Study on the spatial and temporal changes of vegetation and its influencing factors in Gansu province from 2000 to 2020

  • 摘要: 为探究甘肃省植被覆盖度变化情况与不同影响因素的关系,综合运用像元二分模型、趋势分析、Hurst指数及地理探测器对甘肃省全域及其典型地区的植被覆盖度进行分析,旨在揭示其时空变化特征与影响因素。结果如下。(1)甘肃省植被覆盖度整体呈显著上升趋势,约65.55%的区域表现为改善,其中甘肃省中部增速最为显著。(2)全省植被未来整体将持续改善,区域持续性存在差异:庆阳、天水等地为强持续性增长,西北部及甘南等生态脆弱区则存在波动或退化风险。(3)甘肃省植被覆盖度受自然与人为因素共同驱动,其中降水为主导因子。(4)甘肃省南、北部主要以自然条件为主导,侧重于保护与防治;中部则以自然与人为双因素共同驱动,是人工干预和植被提升的重点区域。甘肃省植被的整体恢复是自然条件改善与人为生态保护措施共同推动的结果。

     

    Abstract: This study aims to explore the relationship between changes in vegetation coverage in Gansu province and their driving factors. A combination of methods was employed, including the pixel binary model, trend analysis, the Hurst index, and geographic detector, to analyze vegetation coverage across the entire province and in representative cities. The goal was to reveal the spatiotemporal dynamics of vegetation coverage and the factors influencing it. The study results are as follows. (1) Vegetation coverage in Gansu Province shows a significant overall increasing trend, with approximately 65.55% of the area exhibiting improvement. The most pronounced increase was observed in the central part of the province. (2)Vegetation coverage is expected to continue improving in the future, although regional differences in persistence exist: areas such as Qingyang and Tianshui show strong sustained growth, while ecologically fragile regions in the northwest and Gannan face fluctuations or risks of degradation. (3)Vegetation dynamics in Gansu province are driven by both natural and human factors, with precipitation identified as the dominant influencing factor. (4)The southern and northern parts of Gansu are primarily shaped by natural conditions, where the focus should be on protection and prevention; the central region, influenced by both natural and human factors, serves as a key area for targeted human intervention and vegetation improvement. The overall vegetation restoration in Gansu province results from the combined effects of improved natural conditions and human-led ecological protection measures.

     

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