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中国省际森林康养产业竞争力时空格局及动态演进分析

Analysis on the spatial-temporal pattern and dynamic evolution of the competitiveness of China's provincial forest health care industry

  • 摘要: 我国森林康养产业发展起步较晚,目前有关森林康养产业竞争力的研究甚少,已有研究大多停留在定性分析层面,且对于森林康养产业竞争力时空格局变化的研究几乎空白。基于此,以中国 31 个省(市、区)为研究对象,依据 2011—2020 年间中国 31 个省(市、区)森林康养产业发展相关指标动态数据,利用 Entropy-TOPSIS 法从资源竞争力、市场竞争力、支撑竞争力、环境竞争力四个维度对各省森林康养产业竞争力水平进行测度,在此基础上利用空间自相关分析、 Kernel 密度估计等方法分析中国森林康养产业竞争力的时空特征及动态演进过程。研究结果表明:(1)2011—2020 年间,全国各省(市、区)森林康养产业竞争力水平呈现出“先缓慢上升,随后阶段性下降,而后震荡上升”的趋势,总体为上升态势;(2)各省(市、区)之间区域差异不断缩小,森林康养产业区域发展愈发协调;(3)森林康养产业竞争力水平较低的地区提升速度较快,而森林康养产业竞争力水平较高的地区增长速度有所放缓,中国各区域森林康养产业竞争力具有收敛趋势;(4)中国省际森林康养产业竞争力空间集聚特征增强,空间分布向集聚性状态演变,局部空间集聚格局以高 - 高和低 - 低集聚方式为主导;(5)全国森林康养产业竞争力的绝对差异呈现先减小再增大,而后又减小的态势,地区内部绝对差异表现为下降趋势。

     

    Abstract: The development of forest health care industry in China started relatively late. At present, there are few studies on the competitiveness of forest health care industry. Most of the existing studies remain at the qualitative analysis level, and the research on the spatial and temporal pattern changes of the competitiveness of forest health care industry is almost blank. Based on this, taking 31 provinces (cities and districts) in China as the research object, and based on the dynamic data of relevant indicators of forest health care industry development in 31 provinces (cities and districts) in China from 2011 to 2020, Entropy TOPSIS method is used to measure the competitiveness level of forest health care industry in each province from four dimensions of resource competitiveness, market competitiveness, support competitiveness and environmental competitiveness. On this basis, the spatial autocorrelation analysis, Kernel density estimation and other methods are used to analyze the space-time characteristics and dynamic evolution process of China's forest health care industry competitiveness. The research results show that: (1) from 2011 to 2020, the competitiveness level of forest health care industry in all provinces (cities and districts) in China showed a trend of "slowly rising, then gradually declining, and then rising in shock", with an overall upward trend; (2) the regional differences among provinces (cities and districts) are narrowing, and the regional development of forest health care industry is becoming more coordinated; (3) the regions with low competitiveness level of forest health care industry have increased rapidly, while the growth rate of regions with high competitiveness level of forest health care industry has slowed down, and the competitiveness of forest health care industry in various regions of China has a convergence trend; (4) the competitiveness of China's inter provincial forest health care industry has enhanced its spatial agglomeration characteristics, and its spatial distribution has evolved to a state of agglomeration; (5) the absolute difference in the competitiveness of the national forest health care industry shows a trend of first decreasing, then increasing, and then decreasing. The absolute difference within the region shows a downward trend.

     

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